Watershed Conditions Statement - Flood Outlook

WATERSHED CONDITIONS STATEMENT – FLOOD OUTLOOK

Message #: 10.1

Issued on: Friday, December 10, 2021 (8:00 AM)

To: Watershed Media, Watershed Emergency Services, Municipalities, and Counties, SVCA Staff and Board of Directors

Forecast precipitation, warmer temperatures and the associated trace snowmelt, and saturated ground conditions will result in elevated water levels across the Saugeen River watershed over the next few days.

A strong cold front will be moving through the region today bringing rain, heavy at times, and strong winds. Rain will begin tonight and continue into Saturday, with total amounts of 25-30 mm expected throughout the watershed. Warmer temperatures combined with precipitation and saturated soils will cause snowmelt to run-off quickly to local watercourses.

While significant flooding is not expected, rivers could reach or exceed bankfull conditions, with minor flooding in traditional low-lying areas. More extensive flooding is possible should the region receive rainfall amounts greater than what are currently forecast. Municipal and County staff should monitor problem areas and prepare to close low-lying roads. Residents are reminded to stay away from all watercourses. Cold water, gusty winds, and slippery and unstable stream banks will create hazardous conditions near all waterways.

This statement will remain in effect until 8:30 AM on Monday, December 13, 2021, unless local conditions warrant further updates. SVCA will continue to monitor watershed conditions.

For more information, please contact the following person:

Alana McDonald
Flood Forecasting and Warning Coordinator
(519) 369-8247