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SHORELINE CONDITIONS STATEMENT – FLOOD OUTLOOK
Message #: 11.1
Issued on: Friday, December 10, 2021 (8:30 AM)
To: Watershed Media, Shoreline Municipalities: Huron-Kinloss, Kincardine, Saugeen Shores, SVCA Staff and Board of Directors
Strong winds, heavy rain, and saturated soil will result in greater risk of erosion and flooding along the Lake Huron shoreline between Saturday afternoon and early Sunday.
A strong cold front will be moving through the region this evening bringing strong north-westerly winds to the Lake Huron shoreline by Saturday late afternoon. Strong wind gusting between 70 and 90 km/hr are expected. Waves are estimated to build to 4 m by 6:00 PM, subsiding to 2 m by noon Sunday. Lake Huron water levels have dropped below record highs but remain above the December average.
Heavy rain and saturated ground conditions will increase the risk of erosion along the Lake Huron shoreline. While significant shoreline flooding is not anticipated, wave uprush, shoreline erosion and flooding of low-lying areas can be expected. Residents and municipal officials are reminded to stay well back from breaking waves. Municipal staff are recommended to monitor problem areas into Sunday morning.
This statement will remain in effect until 5:00 PM on Sunday December 12, 2021, unless local conditions warrant further updates. SVCA will continue to monitor shoreline conditions.
For more information, please contact the following person:
Alana McDonald
Flood Forecasting and Warning Coordinator
(519) 369-8247
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